距离11月3日美国中期选举仅四周之际，共和党的选举前景继续恶化。在通用选票中，共和党落后民主党9.6个百分点，较9月25日的9.1个百分点进一步扩大1。根据分析师Nate Silver的预测模型，民主党赢得参议院控制权的概率为74%，赢得众议院控制权的概率则高达93%1。
特朗普的政治地位同样承受压力。他的净批准率为-22.5，其中通胀问题的净批准率更是达到-48.51。多重经济因素对共和党造成打击：9月失业率上升0.1个百分点至4.2%1，新增就业岗位仅29,000个，而7月和8月的岗位数据合计被下调60,000个1。美国汽油平均价格已从9月25日的每加仑4.48美元下降至4.36美元1，但伊朗战争的净支持率为-27.9，创开战以来最低1。
Four weeks ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, Republicans face a widening deficit in national polling. The Republican Party trails the Democratic Party by 9.6 percentage points in generic ballot surveys, a gap that has expanded from 9.1 percentage points as of September 25 1. According to analyst Nate Silver's forecasting model, Democrats hold a 74 percent probability of gaining Senate control and a 93 percent probability of gaining House control 1.
President Donald Trump's net approval rating stands at negative 22.5, with his net approval on inflation issues reaching negative 48.5 1. Economic headwinds compound the Republican challenge, as the September unemployment rate rose 0.1 percentage point to 4.2 percent 1, while September job creation fell to just 29,000 positions, with July and August figures revised downward by a combined 60,000 jobs 1. Average US gasoline prices have moderated to $4.36 per gallon, down from $4.48 per gallon on September 25 1. Additionally, public support for the Iran war has reached its lowest point since the conflict began, with a net support rating of negative 27.9 1.
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