距离11月的美国中期选举投票日不足一个月12,民主党相较共和党已取得明显的竞选优势13。民调显示,共和党候选人在参议院和众议院的竞选中均落后于民主党2,民主党在包括德州、俄亥俄州和阿拉斯加州等共和党传统优势州的关键参议院竞选中表现强劲4。
为扭转局面,共和党正在全力投入竞选资源。特朗普及副总统J·D·万斯等党内高层已赴全国各地为易受冲击的议员造势2。共和党超级政治行动委员会已投入数亿美元用于广告和选民外展活动,并计划继续增加投资2。然而,不受欢迎的特朗普却成为威胁共和党选举前景的因素4,民主党正在设法从共和党选民中争取支持4。这场竞选被描述为美国历史上关注度最高的选举之一13。
With approximately 30 days remaining before the midterm elections, Democrats have emerged with a significant polling lead over Republicans in both chambers of Congress.12 Polling data shows Democratic candidates outperforming their Republican counterparts in key Senate races, including competitive contests in traditional Republican strongholds such as Texas, Ohio, and Alaska.2
Republican leadership has intensified campaign efforts in response to the difficult landscape. Former President Trump and other senior Republican figures are actively campaigning across the country to support vulnerable incumbents, while Republican super PACs have already invested hundreds of millions of dollars in advertising and voter outreach initiatives with plans to increase spending further.2 Despite these efforts, Trump's unpopularity has emerged as a liability for Republican candidates, with some voters from Republican-leaning states shifting support toward Democratic candidates.2
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