澳大利亚联盟党领导人安格斯·泰勒公布了一项移民政策。1 该政策承诺若联盟党在2028年选举中当选，将在执政前两年内把澳大利亚的净海外移民削减至每年10万人。1 这一目标相比当前每年约29.2万人的移民规模，降幅约66%。1
政策的具体措施包括打击签证跳跃、废除临时毕业生签证，以及根据住房批准数量来限制新移民入境。1 该政策面临政策分析人士的批评，指其建立在多个错误的假设基础之上。1 批评者认为，澳大利亚的移民体系并非失控状态，而是全球冲击带来的后遗症；仅仅降低移民数字并不必然解决相关问题；采取强硬立场会带来高昂的政治代价；移民与住房短缺之间的因果关系并非简单的一一对应；仅发表价值观声明对安全帮助有限。1
Australia's Coalition party leader Angus Taylor has unveiled a migration policy that commits to reducing net overseas migration to 100,000 people annually if the party wins the 2028 election, down from the current level of approximately 292,000 people per year.1 The policy includes measures to crack down on visa overstayers, abolish temporary graduate visas, and restrict new migrants based on housing approval numbers.1
However, according to analysis of the proposal, the policy is built upon several flawed assumptions about Australia's migration system.1 The argument contends that the migration system has not spiraled out of control but rather reflects lingering effects from global disruptions, and that simply reducing migration numbers will not necessarily resolve underlying issues.1 The analysis points to the experience of the British Conservative Party, which promised to reduce net migration to "tens of thousands" but failed to achieve this goal—a failure that reinforced widespread perceptions of an out-of-control system and became central to the Brexit campaign.1 The cautionary example is underscored by the fact that most British people now view Brexit as a mistake.1
Further concerns raised about the Coalition's approach include the high political cost of taking a hardline stance on migration, the lack of a straightforward one-to-one relationship between immigration levels and housing availability, and the limited security benefits of value-based declarations.1
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