英国保守党将于本周日在伯明翰召开年会1。党内对领导人基米·巴德诺克的评价有所改善，会议氛围预计将比去年更加乐观1。然而，这种积极态势并未完全反映在选民支持上——保守党在最新民调中排名第三，支持率约为20%，仍低于2024年大选前的24%1。若现在举行大选，保守党将大幅落败1。
党内对巴德诺克的领导策略存在疑虑。一位保守党影子大臣指出："我们需要吸引流向自由民主党和改革英国党的选民，我个人认为我们的平衡不对"1。巴德诺克当选党领导人近两年，他专注争取改革英国党支持者的策略引发关切，有声音认为这样做忽视了中间派选民1。前影子司法大臣罗伯特·詹里克三个月前叛投改革英国党1。
虽然巴德诺克的净支持率（根据YouGov民调）比去年上升了20个百分点，但仍为负151。投票者对他的描述包括"强硬"、"刻薄"和"冷漠"1。为重振支持，保守党近期承诺了一系列政策，包括禁止非英国人获得社会住房、剥夺因重罪被定罪双国籍人士的英国国籍，以及将部分福利金削减至"最低生活水平"1。
The UK Conservative Party's annual conference will convene in Birmingham on Sunday, with party mood expected to improve compared to last year, according to party officials 1. The shift reflects a modest recovery in sentiment around party leader Kemi Badenoch, who has served as Conservative leader for nearly two years 1.
However, optimism within party ranks masks persistent electoral challenges. The Conservatives rank third in the latest polls with approximately 20 percent support, down from 24 percent ahead of the 2024 general election 1. Badenoch's net approval rating has risen 20 percentage points since last year according to YouGov, yet remains at negative 15 1. Voters describe the party leader as "tough," "mean," and "uncaring" 1.
Internal party concerns centre on strategic direction. One Conservative shadow cabinet member stated: "We need to attract voters flowing to the Liberal Democrats and Reform UK, and personally I think our balance is wrong" 1. Recent policy commitments include banning non-British citizens from social housing, stripping dual nationals convicted of serious crimes of British citizenship, and cutting some welfare payments to "bare minimum" levels 1. The departure of former shadow justice secretary Robert Jenrick to Reform UK three months ago, following his expulsion by Badenoch, underscores internal fractures 1.
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