加拿大总理马克·卡尼向《纽约时报》表示,他已为美国入侵这一曾经难以想象的情景做好准备,将其作为风险管理的一部分1。面对特朗普政府推行的全球关税政策以及将加拿大纳入美国的相关言论,加拿大开展了针对性的军事推演1。
根据加拿大军方的模型评估,如果美国发动攻击,将在一周内击垮加拿大的战略阵地1。对此,加拿大国防部长近期呼吁将军队规模扩大30万名轻装公民兵1。与此同时,1月份一项Leger民调显示,超过30%的加拿大人认为美国入侵可能发生1。
虽然特朗普在2025年称美国对加拿大使用武力"高度不可能"1,但加拿大的防卫准备反映了全球秩序在特朗普时代面临的深刻变化。加拿大与美国历史上曾在1775年和1812年发生过军事冲突1。
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has acknowledged preparing for a hypothetical American invasion, framing it as part of risk management in an increasingly unpredictable geopolitical environment 1. The preparation comes amid the Trump administration's global tariff policies and rhetoric about incorporating Canada as the 51st state 1.
Despite military experts assessing the likelihood of invasion as extremely low, Canada has conducted military exercises to address the scenario 1. According to Canadian military modeling, a US attack would overwhelm Canada's strategic positions within one week 1. President Trump stated in 2025 that using military force against Canada was "highly unlikely," yet public concern persists—a January poll by Leger found that over 30 percent of Canadians believe an American invasion could occur 1.
In response to the security concerns, Canada's Defense Minister has recently called for expanding the military by 300,000 lightly-armed citizen soldiers 1. The unprecedented defensive planning reflects dramatic shifts in global order during the Trump era, with historical context showing that military tensions between the two nations occurred in 1775 and 1812 1.
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