AI领域的推动者曾做出乐观预测,认为人工智能将从根本上改变经济格局。2021年,Sam Altman预测AI将带来"Moore定律应用于万物",并导致劳动力价格下降至接近零1。知名投资人Marc Andreessen也表示,AI将使"我们关心的一切都变得更好",价格可能"全面降至接近零"1。这些承诺为AI产业塑造了一个充满希望的未来前景。
然而,现实走向却与这些预言相悖。迄今为止,AI并未引发大规模失业和物价下跌,相反,美国就业市场保持充分,物价反而上升1。这种预期与现实的巨大落差,加剧了公众对生活成本上升的不满,使AI成为最不受欢迎的新兴技术。Conference Board消费者信心指数已跌至2014年以来的最低点,反映出民众对经济前景的广泛担忧1。
AI developers have long positioned artificial intelligence as an economic panacea, but the gap between their predictions and current conditions appears to be fueling public distrust of the technology.1 In 2021, Sam Altman forecast that AI would bring about a "Moore's Law applied to everything," driving labor costs down to near zero.1 Similarly, Marc Andreessen envisioned AI making "everything we care about better," with prices potentially plummeting across the board.1 Yet the promised economic transformation has not materialized.
Instead of the predicted mass unemployment and deflation, the American economy has continued to generate robust employment while prices have risen.1 This disconnect between the optimistic projections and lived economic experience appears to have contributed to growing public skepticism. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index has reached its lowest point since 2014, reflecting widespread concern about the cost of living.1 As a result, AI has become among the least popular emerging technologies in the United States.
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