埃塞俄比亚北部近日爆发新一轮武装冲突，由提格雷人民解放阵线领导的七个反对派武装组织联盟——"埃塞俄比亚人民生存力量联盟"与埃塞俄比亚国防军交战1。埃塞俄比亚国防军司令比尔哈努·朱拉指控厄立特里亚、苏丹和埃及为反对派提供支持1，但这些国家均予以否认。
相互指控反映出该地区涉及多方的利益纠葛。苏丹指控埃塞俄比亚支持与苏丹军队交战三年多的快速反应部队1。路透社在2月报道称，在埃塞俄比亚贝尼尚古尔-古米兹边境地区存在快速反应部队训练营，阿联酋据称提供教官、资金和后勤支持1。此外，苏丹政府在5月接待了提格雷人民解放阵线高级代表及其他反对埃塞俄比亚政府的武装团体领导人1。专家认为，虽然这场冲突的根源是国内分歧，但外部行为体的干预已形成复杂格局，包括苏丹政府与提格雷派的联盟、埃塞俄比亚与快速反应部队之间的暗中支持关系，以及地区大国围绕影响力的竞争，这些因素使冲突存在升级为更广泛地区对抗的风险1。
Armed clashes erupted in northern Ethiopia over the past week between the Ethiopian National Defense Force and a seven-member opposition coalition led by the Tigray People's Liberation Front, known as the Alliance for Ethiopia's Survival Force1. Ethiopian Defense Force Commander Birhanu Jula accused Eritrea, Sudan, and Egypt of backing the Tigray-led alliance, allegations that the named countries have denied1.
The conflict reflects deeper regional entanglements that extend beyond domestic politics. Sudan has countered that Ethiopia supports the Rapid Support Forces, with which Sudanese military forces have been engaged in combat for over three years1. In May, the Sudanese government received senior representatives from the Tigray People's Liberation Front and other Ethiopian opposition leaders1. Reuters reported in February the presence of Rapid Support Forces training camps in the Benishangul-Gumuz border region of Ethiopia, with the United Arab Emirates allegedly providing instructors, funding, and logistical support1. Experts characterize the conflict as primarily internal but complicated by external intervention, including alleged alliances between Sudan's government and Tigray forces, covert support arrangements between Ethiopia and the Rapid Support Forces, and competition among regional powers—raising the risk of escalation into a broader regional confrontation1.
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