在全球气候变化背景下，中国水利部长李国英指出，中国大陆极端洪澇灾害呈现"一增加三随机"的态势。1具体而言，极端暴雨洪水事件增加，但发生的地点、时间和强度随机变化。1李国英表示，"全球气候变化影响加剧，中国暴雨洪水、洪澇灾害多发频发，防御工作面临一系列新形势新任务"。1
今年中国水利部门已通过调度9228座大中型水库，成功抗御了998条河流超过警戒水位的洪水，其中49条河流出现有实测资料以来的最大洪水。1这些防御措施有效减轻了灾害损失：水库共拦蓄洪水1375亿立方米，减少了1165个城镇被淹，保护了1065万亩农作物，避免了581万人次需要转移撤离。1
展望未来，李国英指出十五五期间（2026至2030年）中国的洪澇防御工作将面临充满不确定性的严峻考验。1
China's Minister of Water Resources Li Guoying has warned that extreme flooding disasters across the country are becoming increasingly unpredictable amid accelerating global climate change.1 The minister characterized China's extreme rainfall and flooding situation as exhibiting "one increase and three randomness"—meaning that while extreme rainstorms and floods are becoming more frequent, their occurrence locations, timing, and intensity remain random.1
This year, China's water resources authorities managed to mitigate disaster impacts through coordinated operation of 9,228 large and medium-sized reservoirs to counter 998 rivers experiencing water levels above critical thresholds.1 The reservoirs effectively retained 137.5 billion cubic meters of floodwaters, preventing inundation of 1,165 cities and towns, protecting 10.65 million acres of crops, and avoiding the displacement of 5.81 million people.1 Among the rivers managed, 49 experienced their largest recorded floods since measurements began.1
Looking ahead to the next five-year period (2026-2030), Li emphasized that China's flood prevention efforts will face a "distinctly uncertain" landscape.1 He stated that "global climate change is intensifying its impact, with rainstorms, floods, and flood-drought disasters occurring with increasing frequency across China, presenting water resources authorities with a series of new circumstances and challenges."1
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