川習會後 台灣學者析中國敘事戰略

台灣學者在川習二會後舉辦座談會，分析中國在會議中採取的「敘事戰」策略1。學者指出，中國推進了三項關鍵敘事：與美國「平起平坐」、「反對台獨」，以及關於二戰的歷史敘事1，企圖藉此影響美國與國際社會對台灣及中國的認知1。

習近平在兩次川習會上都提及「修昔底德陷阱」，暗示中國將趕上或超越美國1。同時，中國要求美方將「不支持台獨」政策升級為「堅持反對台獨」，但川普並未接受這一要求1。在二戰敘事上，川普提及中國是二戰盟國、飛虎隊等歷史元素，已傾向採納中共敘事，將中華民國的功績歸於中共1。

學者認為這些敘事雖無立即政策影響，但具有長期性與擴散性1。曾偉峯指出，1972年上海公報中「美國認知到只有一個中國」的敘事至今仍有影響力1。王信賢則提出，若美國確認「中美是二戰盟友」敘事，將導致「去中華民國化」現象更加明顯1。專家警告，這些敘事將對台灣國際空間造成負面影響1。此外，日本因5月川普訪京時未到東京已遭受戰略損失，台灣與日本面臨同樣的戰略壓力1。

Taiwan scholars convened a forum following the second Trump-Xi summit to analyze Beijing's approach, concluding that China deployed a coordinated "narrative warfare" strategy centered on three key themes 1. The first aims to establish China as an equal with the United States, a message Xi Jinping reinforced by invoking the "Thucydides Trap" at both summits to suggest China will match or surpass American power 1. Second, Beijing pressed Washington to upgrade its stated position from "not supporting Taiwan independence" to "firmly opposing Taiwan independence," though Trump declined to adopt this stronger language 1. Third, China advanced a World War II narrative positioning itself as a war ally alongside the United States, with Trump already showing inclination toward this framing by mentioning China's role as a wartime ally and the Flying Tigers, thereby attributing Republic of China achievements to the Chinese Communist Party 1.

Scholar Weng Wei-feng noted that the 1972 Shanghai Communiqué's language—stating that the United States "acknowledges there is one China"—continues to influence current diplomatic discourse 1. Colleague Wang Hsin-hsien warned that if the United States accepts the narrative of Sino-American wartime partnership, it could lead to pronounced "de-sinicization," effectively erasing the Republic of China from historical and diplomatic recognition 1. Though these narratives may lack immediate policy consequences, scholars assessed they carry long-term and expansionary effects, poising to adversely impact Taiwan's international space 1. Japan has already experienced strategic losses from similar pressure, having been excluded from Trump's May Beijing visit, and Taiwan now faces comparable diplomatic challenges 1.