英国保险公司Aviva首席执行官Amanda Blanc发出警告，称在英国洪灾高风险地区建造的新房屋可能在未来变得无法获得保险。1根据Aviva的研究，假设当前建设模式持续不变，未来十年将有115,000栋房屋在洪泛区建造。1该公司的分析表明，2024年建造的新房中近三分之一到2050年将面临某种洪灾风险，其中七分之一将处于中高风险等级。1
目前，英格兰约6.3百万栋住宅和商业建筑已经面临洪灾风险，这一数字到本世纪中叶可能增至约8百万栋，占房产总数的四分之一。1英国气象局的数据显示，2023-24年多雨暴风冬季的频率已从过去的80年一遇变为20年一遇，反映出洪灾风险的上升。1Aviva呼吁政府制定更谨慎的政策以应对这一挑战。1
Aviva's chief executive Amanda Blanc has cautioned that newly constructed homes in England's flood-prone regions could become impossible to insure in the coming years 1. Research conducted by the insurance giant indicates that under current building patterns, approximately one-third of homes built in 2024 will face some degree of flood risk by 2050, with one-seventh facing medium to high risk 1.
The warning underscores an expanding insurance vulnerability across England. Currently, around 6.3 million residential and commercial properties face flood risk, a figure that could rise to approximately 8 million—representing one-quarter of all properties—by mid-century 1. If present construction trends persist, an estimated 115,000 additional homes will be built in flood-prone areas over the next decade 1. The Met Office has assessed that severe, rainy winters—such as the 2023-24 season—have shifted from occurring once every 80 years to once every 20 years 1.
Blanc has called for more cautious government policy ahead of the upcoming budget, which Chancellor John Healey is set to unveil on October 28 1. She also noted that pension fund withdrawals from Aviva last year reached 30 times normal levels 1.
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