美国总统川普与中国国家主席习近平于1月24日在白宫会谈后,两国经贸团队达成8点成果共识1。双方宣布对等降低自对方进口、规模约300亿美元产品的关税1。中国约90%的降税产品关税将降至最惠国税率水准1,涉及农产品、个人护理用品、医疗器械、煤炭、家电、婴儿用品等商品1。美方降税清单共77项,包括家居用品、运动器材及玩具等1。
上海复旦大学国际问题研究院院长吴心伯分析认为,中美将于2025年夏季开启经贸谈判,两国经贸关系整体保持稳定1。他指出,由于美方关税牌失效,美方短期不会再轻举妄动,类似去年初美国大规模加徵关税这类极端情形大概率不会重演1。中国学者预计降税规模未来可望扩大至400亿至500亿美元1。
President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks at the White House on January 24, after which their economic teams announced an eight-point consensus on trade cooperation 1. The two nations agreed to reciprocally reduce tariffs on approximately $30 billion worth of imports from each other 1. Chinese tariff reductions will apply to roughly 90 percent of products at the most-favored-nation rate, covering items such as agricultural products, personal care goods, medical devices, coal, home appliances, and baby products 1. The American tariff reduction list comprises 77 items, including home furnishings, sporting equipment, and toys 1.
According to Wu Xinbo, director of the Institute for International Studies at Fudan University in Shanghai, the two countries will launch trade negotiations in the summer of 2025, with their economic relationship expected to remain broadly stable in the near term 1. Wu noted that with the American tariff weapon rendered ineffective, Washington is unlikely to take reckless action in the short run, making a repeat of last year's massive tariff increases improbable 1. Chinese analysts further suggest that the scale of tariff reductions could potentially expand to between $40 billion and $50 billion in the future 1.
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