维州民调显示联盟党领先优势收窄，但仍保持领先地位

距离维多利亚州大选不足两个月，DemosAU最新民调显示联盟党对工党的两党优势正在缩小1。根据9月10至20日进行的民调（样本1,020人），联盟党在两党优先投票后以52-48领先工党1。这一优势较早期民调相比有所收窄——联盟党对工党的两党优势从8月的55-45缩小到现在的52-481。

在首选票方面，联盟党支持率为30%（下降2个百分点），工党为25%（上升2个百分点），一国党达到20%（下降2个百分点），绿党为14%（上升1个百分点）1。维多利亚州大选定于11月28日举行1。

领导人方面，现任总理本·卡罗尔的净支持率为-14（37%反对，23%赞成），而自由党领袖杰丝·威尔逊的净支持率为+8（33%赞成，25%反对）1。

在联邦层面，根据7月13日至9月18日的Newspoll汇总数据（样本4,967人），一国党的支持率已上升至30%，工党为29%，联盟党为19%1。一国党在昆士兰州的表现尤为突出，支持率达到36%，领先工党11个百分点1。

With the Victorian state election set for November 28, a DemosAU poll conducted from September 10-20 among 1,020 respondents reveals the Coalition's two-party lead has contracted significantly 1. The Coalition now holds a 52-48 advantage over Labor in two-party preferred voting, compared with an earlier 55-45 lead recorded in August 1. In primary vote support, the Coalition stands at 30%, down 2 points, while Labor has risen 2 points to 25%, One Nation holds 20%, down 2 points, and the Greens have gained 1 point to reach 14% 1.

At the leadership level, Premier Ben Carroll recorded a net support rating of minus 14, with 37% opposing and 23% supporting his performance 1. By contrast, Liberal leader Jess Wilson achieved a net rating of plus 8, backed by 33% and opposed by 25% 1. Nationally, a Newspoll aggregate drawn from data collected between July 13 and September 18 among 4,967 respondents shows One Nation at 30%, up 2 points, Labor at 29%, down 2 points, and the Coalition at 19%, unchanged 1. One Nation's support reaches particularly high levels in Queensland, where the party commands 36% support and leads Labor by 11 percentage points 1.