澳大利亚最新研究显示，尽管烟草税导致烟价大幅上涨，但总体吸烟人口的下降使得经历吸烟贫困的澳大利亚人口比例从2016年的1.9%降至2025年的1.5%1。这项基于2016-2024年26,888名月度吸烟者数据的研究已发表于《成瘾》期刊1。
在国际对比中，澳大利亚烟价上涨幅度最大——2024年烟价为2016年的1.81倍，而英国为1.67倍、加拿大为1.38倍、美国为1.39倍1。然而，澳大利亚吸烟者中经历吸烟贫困的比例最高，达到18.3%，远高于英国的14.3%、加拿大的13.0%和美国的10.4%1。同期，澳大利亚吸烟率从2016年的15.6%下降到2025年的8.2%1。
研究指出，经历吸烟贫困群体的戒烟效率较低。该群体中仅9.4%成功戒烟，低于未经历此困难群体的12.6%1。研究人员认为，降低烟草税会增加吸烟和健康危害，更有效的方案是将烟草税收入用于支持戒烟项目和医疗保障1。2026-27年澳大利亚烟草税收入预计为35.6亿澳元1。
Australian researchers have found that while tobacco tax increases have raised cigarette prices significantly, the overall decline in smoking rates has reduced the proportion of the population experiencing smoking-related poverty from 1.9% in 2016 to 1.5% in 2025.1 The study, based on data from 26,888 monthly smokers collected between 2016 and 2024 and published in the journal Addiction, reveals a stark disparity in how smoking affects household finances across developed nations.1
Australia has implemented the steepest tobacco tax increases among comparable countries, with cigarette prices rising to 1.81 times their 2016 levels by 2024, compared to 1.67 times in the United Kingdom, 1.38 times in Canada, and 1.39 times in the United States.1 This aggressive pricing strategy has contributed to Australia's smoking rate dropping from 15.6% in 2016 to 8.2% in 2025.1 However, among smokers who remain, the burden is disproportionate: 18.3% of Australian smokers experience smoking-related poverty—significantly higher than the 14.3% in the United Kingdom, 13.0% in Canada, and 10.4% in the United States.1
The research highlights a troubling paradox: those struggling with smoking-related poverty face greater barriers to quitting. Only 9.4% of people experiencing smoking poverty successfully quit smoking, compared to 12.6% among those without such financial strain.1 Rather than reducing tobacco taxes, researchers recommend redirecting the projected tobacco tax revenue of A$3.56 billion for 2026–27 toward smoking cessation programs and healthcare support, as this approach would more effectively reduce both smoking rates and smoking-related poverty.1
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