中国领导人习近平在华府与美国总统川普举行会晤。1台湾学者随后召开座谈会分析此次会晤对台湾的影响。多名学者强调,台湾不会成为美中"大交易"的筹码。1
习近平在会晤中强调:"中方维护国家统一和领土完整的立场是很清楚的。希望美方坚持反对台独的正确立场,慎重处理台湾问题。"1学者张五岳对此回应表示:"绝对不存在台湾议题成为美中谈判大交易、大谈判的可能筹码,台湾议题在这次川习会不会是筹码,未来也不容易会。"1
学者指出,应当关注川普对此次会晤的满意度,以及后续在四个关键指标上的政策走向:美国对台军售、台湾总统赖清德过境美国本土、美国高官访台、以及美国推动强化台美关系的法案。1此外,学者认为美中需要管控台海分歧以避免冲突升高。1
对于会晤的实质成效,学者明居正认为"川习二会是形式大于实质、形式大于收穫"。1学者林正义则指出,习近平多次重复谈及"修昔底德陷阱"的话题,但中国应注意避免陷入"金德伯格陷阱"。1
Chinese leader Xi Jinping met with U.S. President Donald Trump in Washington, prompting Taiwanese scholars to convene and assess the implications of the summit for the island.1 During the discussion, scholars emphasized that Taiwan will not serve as a bargaining chip in any "grand deal" between the United States and China, and stressed the importance of managing cross-strait differences to prevent escalation.1
Xi reiterated China's position during the talks, stating: "Our stance on upholding national unification and territorial integrity is very clear. We hope the U.S. side will maintain the correct position of opposing Taiwanese independence and handle the Taiwan issue prudently."1 In response, scholar Chang Wu-yueh stressed: "There is absolutely no possibility of the Taiwan issue becoming a bargaining chip in U.S.-China negotiations at this summit, and it is unlikely to become one in the future either."1
Scholars identified four policy indicators to monitor U.S. intentions regarding Taiwan: continued military sales to the island, allowing President Lai Ching-te to transit through U.S. mainland territory, official visits to Taiwan by American officials, and U.S. legislative efforts to strengthen Taiwan-U.S. ties.1 Meanwhile, analyst Ming Chu-cheng characterized the Trump-Xi summit as "form over substance, form over achievement,"1 while scholar Lin Cheng-yi noted that Xi repeatedly raised the concept of the "Thucydides Trap" but suggested China should also be mindful of avoiding the "Kindleberger Trap."1
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