德国总理默茨所在的中右翼基民盟在近期地方选举中遭遇严重挫折，政府随之陷入困境。1该党在柏林被击败，在萨克森-安哈尔特州民调惨淡，在梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州被挤出议会。1默茨的支持率已跌至历史新低，选民普遍认为他傲慢且与民众脱节。1
极右翼政党德国选择党借势扩大影响力。1该党在梅克伦堡-西波美拉尼亚州赢得州选举胜利，全国民调支持率约为28%。1党魁艾丽丝·韦德尔声称默茨的日子已经屈指可数。1这些选举结果反映了德国政治中心支持率下降和政治深度分裂的现状。1
默茨于2025年上台，承诺对移民采取强硬立场并促进经济增长。1本周主要经济研究机构上调了德国2026年和2027年增长预测至1%以上，非法入境德国和欧洲的人数同比下降。1
Chancellor Friedrich Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has suffered significant setbacks in recent local elections, exposing deep fractures within Germany's political landscape.1 The party was defeated in Berlin, performed poorly in Saxony-Anhalt, and was squeezed out of parliament in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.1 These results have triggered a government crisis at a moment when Merz, who took office in 2025 pledging tough stances on immigration and economic revival, sees his personal approval ratings at historic lows, with voters viewing him as arrogant and disconnected from public concerns.1
The elections have coincided with a dramatic rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which secured its third state election victory last Sunday in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and now commands approximately 28 percent support in national polling.1 AfD co-leader Alice Weidel has declared that Merz's days are numbered.1 This polarization underscores broader political upheaval, with the traditional center of German politics losing ground even as some economic indicators show improvement—major research institutions this week raised growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to above 1 percent, and illegal border crossings to Germany and Europe have declined year-on-year.1
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