澳大利亚最新代际报告预测,未来40年内死亡人口将超过出生人口,生育率预计下降至1.341。该国生育率已经低于更替水平2.1超过50年1,预计人口将减少170万人,中位年龄增加1.7岁1。面对这一人口危机,劳工党政府主张通过投资全民托儿和幼教服务来应对。
财政部长吉姆·查尔默斯表示不会支持新的"婴儿津贴"1,金融部长凯蒂·加拉赫也确认政府不会重启婴儿津贴1。总理安东尼·阿尔巴内塞希望全民托儿成为其政治遗产1。智库e61的研究发现,2004年推出的婴儿津贴曾导致出生率增加6.5%,第三个孩子出生增加9%1。
Australia faces a demographic crisis as fertility rates are projected to decline to 1.34 by 2065-66, according to the latest intergenerational report.1 This represents a significant drop from the anticipated rate of 1.5 in 2030-31, and the fertility rate has remained below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman for the past 50 years.1 The report predicts that Australia's population will decrease by 1.7 million people while the median age increases by 1.7 years.1
In response to these demographic challenges, the Labor government has rejected proposals to restore the baby bonus scheme and instead is championing universal childcare and early childhood education as its preferred policy response. Treasurer Jim Chalmers stated the government would not support new "baby bonus" initiatives,1 while Finance Minister Katy Gallagher confirmed the government would not revive the baby bonus.1 Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has expressed his desire for universal childcare to become a defining element of his political legacy.1 This position contrasts with research from think tank e61, which found that the baby bonus introduced in 2004 resulted in a 6.5 percent increase in birth rates overall, with births of third children rising by 9 percent.1
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