埃塞俄比亚北部提格雷地区新一轮战斗的爆发标志着2022年和平协议的重大破裂。1 9月23日，联邦政府军队与提格雷部队在阿巴拉和埃雷布蒂等边境地区发生交火。1 双方就冲突起因相互指责，提格雷地区政府声称联邦政府发动了"新的种族灭绝入侵"。1
和平研究员基特尔·特朗沃尔表示"战争已经开始"，1 德国安全分析师格里特·库尔茨警告这是"走向战争的一步"。1 局势的严重性因七个武装组织联盟的形成而增加，该联盟成员包括提格雷人民解放阵线、阿姆哈拉州法诺部队和奥罗莫地区奥罗莫解放军。1 埃塞俄比亚航空公司已暂停飞往梅克莱、希雷和阿克苏姆的航班。1
这一冲突发生在埃塞俄比亚仍在承受前一场内战创伤的背景下。2020年至2022年期间的内战造成数百万人流离失所，数十万人丧生。1 虽然2022年比勒陀利亚和平协议暂时结束了最严重的流血冲突，但双方在政治和领土纠纷上的根本分歧仍未得到解决。1
Fresh clashes have erupted in Ethiopia's Tigray region, marking a dramatic escalation of tensions following the fragile 2022 peace accord.1 Fighting was reported on September 23, 2026, in border towns including Abala and Erebti, where federal government forces and Tigray-aligned troops exchanged fire.1 The two sides have leveled contradictory accusations, with the Tigray regional government declaring that the federal government had launched a new "genocidal invasion," while Ethiopia's federal authorities made countering claims of offensive action by Tigray forces.12
The resumption of hostilities has prompted serious warnings from conflict experts. Peace researcher Kjetil Tronvoll stated, "I think the war has begun,"1 while German security analyst Gerrit Kurtz characterized the escalation as "a step toward war."1 The threat is compounded by the recent formation of a seven-member armed alliance that includes the Tigray People's Liberation Front, the Fano forces from Amhara State, and the Oromo Liberation Army,1 adding another layer of complexity to the crisis. Ethiopian Airlines has suspended flights to Mekelle, Shireh, and Aksum, further reflecting the deteriorating security situation.1
This renewed violence comes after a devastating internal conflict between 2020 and 2022 that displaced millions of people and claimed tens of thousands of lives.1 Although the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement brought an end to the most intense bloodshed, it failed to resolve underlying political and territorial disputes, leaving fundamental disagreements unresolved.1
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