澳大利亚独立智库e61研究所的分析显示,在劳工党的预算改革框架下,房产投资者的资本利得税负担将出现分化1。该研究覆盖921,000套住宅,发现53%的房屋投资者在2008-2025年期间总体将支付更多税款,而43%将支付更少1。
研究期间房产平均年资本收益为3.3%1,与平均通胀率约3%接近1。改革措施包括将负扣税限制在新建房屋范围内1。这一政策发布后两个月内,联邦银行投资者贷款申请下降了28%1。储备银行行长Michele Bullock表示改革"直接"影响了市场1。
不过,e61研究所博士Nick Garvin指出,"投资者的影响可能远没有宣传的那么糟糕"1,暗示改革实际影响的严重程度可能被过度夸大1。
Australia's independent research institute e61 has released analysis suggesting that under the Labor government's budget reforms, property investors' capital gains tax outcomes may differ from initial predictions.1 The research examined a sample of 921,000 residential properties and found that 53% of house investors would pay more total tax over the 2008-2025 period, while 43% would pay less.1
During the study period, residential properties achieved an average annual capital gain of 3.3%, compared to an average inflation rate of approximately 3%.1 The reforms restrict negative gearing, which now applies only to newly constructed properties.1 Federal Bank investor loan applications declined by 28% within two months of the budget announcement, and Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock stated the reforms had a "direct" impact on the market.1 However, e61 researcher Dr. Nick Garvin suggested that "the impact on investors may be far less severe than has been publicized."1
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