澳大利亚联合党提出了一项"燃油价格盾"政策，当布伦特原油平均价格超过每桶100美元（约合每桶140澳元）时，将自动触发燃油消费税减半1。根据该政策设想，燃油价格预计下降约27澳分/升，或约15澳元/油箱1。
这一措施的资金来源将由烟草消费税削减80%产生的80亿澳元收入支撑1。澳大利亚曾在2022年临时实施过燃油消费税减半政策1。国际上，德国、法国和意大利在2022年能源危机期间也曾实施过燃油税减免措施，但这些救济中有62%最终流向了高于中位数收入的家庭1。
然而，政策实际效果取决于消费者对更低价格的响应程度1。经济学研究表明，汽油价格上升10%在短期内仅产生约0.9%的需求下降1。与此同时，提高烟草消费税可能产生意料之外的影响——澳大利亚烟草非法市场使用率已从2016年的8.6%上升至2022-23年的16.5%1。相比之下，澳大利亚14岁及以上人口的日常吸烟率已从2001年的19.5%下降至2025年的5.6%1。
Australia's Coalition has unveiled a "fuel price shield" policy designed to automatically reduce fuel excise by half when Brent crude oil averages above US$100 per barrel, equivalent to approximately A$140 per barrel 1. The measure aims to provide relief at the petrol pump, with savings estimated at around 27 cents per litre or approximately A$15 per tank 1.
The policy would be funded through an 80 per cent reduction in tobacco excise, generating A$8 billion in revenue 1. This dual tax approach reflects broader economic considerations: Australia previously implemented a temporary halving of fuel excise in 2022 1. During the 2022 energy crisis, France, Germany, and Italy enacted fuel tax relief measures, though 62 per cent of that relief flowed to households with above-median incomes 1.
The effectiveness of the proposal depends substantially on consumer response to lower prices. Research indicates that a 10 per cent increase in petrol prices produces only approximately 0.9 per cent demand reduction in the short term 1, suggesting price sensitivity may be limited. The tobacco tax component carries its own complications: Australia's illicit tobacco market share has grown from 8.6 per cent in 2016 to 16.5 per cent in 2022–23 1, raising questions about whether further tax increases might accelerate this trend. Meanwhile, daily smoking rates among Australians aged 14 and over have declined from 19.5 per cent in 2001 to 5.6 per cent in 2025 1, indicating a shrinking tax base for tobacco revenue.
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