截至2026年9月中旬,德国天然气储备约为141太瓦时,占总储存容量的57%12。这一水平低于往年,引发了对今冬能源供应的担忧。上个冬季德国从储存中提取了接近134太瓦时的天然气12,而目前的储备能否满足类似需求成为焦点。巴伐利亚州州长马库斯·索德于9月4日呼吁联邦政府干预12,绿党共同领导人布丽塔·哈塞尔曼表示"气体储存设施并未装满。我们面临潜在短缺"2。
但官方机构对供应前景持乐观态度。联邦网络局发言人纳迪亚·阿法尼表示,"德国天然气供应稳定,供应安全有保障,风险评估为低"1。德国天然气和氢气工业协会发言人查理·格吕内贝格指出,"与可靠供应商签订合同的任何人都将获得约定的数量"1。气体储存系统运营商协会总经理塞巴斯蒂安·海因曼提出了技术约束,指出德国技术上可将储存设施填充至77%,但按最近三周的填充速度,到11月1日前仅能达到约65%1。
专家强调,天然气供应安全的关键不在单一因素,而取决于进口合同、管道运输和液化天然气终端的综合供应能力1。2022年以来,德国通过投资液化天然气终端、开辟新进口路线和建立反向流动能力,基础设施显著增强1。此外,第二季度天然气期货价格约为46欧元每兆瓦时,最近已上升至80欧元以上12,反映市场对供应的谨慎态度。
Germany's natural gas supply situation for the coming winter remains uncertain, with stored reserves falling below historical levels. As of mid-September 2026, Germany held approximately 141 terawatt-hours of natural gas in storage, representing 57 percent of total storage capacity.12 This level has prompted concerns among politicians and industry figures about potential shortages, though official authorities maintain that supply remains secure. Last winter, Germany withdrew close to 134 terawatt-hours from storage,12 underscoring the significant draw that cold weather can impose on reserves.
Political leaders have expressed alarm about current stockpile levels. Bavaria's Governor Marcus Söder called for federal government intervention on September 4,12 while Green Party co-leader Britta Haßelmann stated: "Gas storage facilities are not full. We face potential shortages."2 However, the Federal Network Agency's spokesperson Nadia Affani countered: "German natural gas supply is stable, supply security is guaranteed, and risk assessment is low."1 Industry representatives also expressed cautious optimism, with the German Gas and Hydrogen Industry Association spokesperson Charlie Grüneberg noting that "anyone with contracts with reliable suppliers will receive the agreed volumes."1
The timeline for reaching adequate storage levels presents a challenge. According to the Gas Storage Systems Operator Association's general manager Sebastian Heinemann, Germany could technically fill storage facilities to 77 percent capacity, but at recent filling rates over the past three weeks, only approximately 65 percent could be achieved by November 1.12 Market conditions have also shifted, with natural gas futures prices rising from approximately 46 euros per megawatt-hour in the second quarter to above 80 euros in recent weeks.12 Since 2022, Germany has strengthened its infrastructure resilience through investments in liquefied natural gas terminals, new import routes, and reverse flow capabilities.1
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