即將舉行的川習會預計將涵蓋台灣問題1。中國學者周波表示,中方期待美國將立場從「不支持台獨」進一步調整為「反對台獨」,但他認為「要做到這點估計並不容易」1。
另一位中國學者孫成昊指出,儘管川普對台政策可能出現細微調整,但這「不代表著美國對台政策發生翻天地覆地的變化」1。孫成昊預計美國對台軍售模式將發生改變,認為「可能不會一次推出大規模軍售方案,會是分批出售」1。孫成昊進一步強調,「美國整體對台政策並沒有發生根本性的變化」1。
As the Trump-Xi meeting approaches, Chinese scholars have offered their assessments of how the Taiwan question might be addressed in discussions between Washington and Beijing. 1
Scholar Zhou Bo stated that China hopes the United States will advance its position from "not supporting Taiwan independence" to "opposing Taiwan independence," though he acknowledged that achieving this shift would be difficult. 1 "If the United States could move from 'not supporting Taiwan independence' to 'opposing Taiwan independence,' that would certainly be ideal," Zhou Bo said, "but accomplishing this is likely not easy." 1
Scholar Sun Chenghuo suggested that any adjustments Trump may make to Taiwan policy would represent only minor refinements rather than a fundamental overhaul of American strategy toward the island. 1 Sun projected that U.S. arms sales to Taiwan would probably proceed in phases rather than through large-scale packages delivered all at once. 1 "Even if Trump's Taiwan policy experiences some subtle adjustments, it does not mean a dramatic transformation in America's overall Taiwan policy," Sun stated, adding that "the United States' comprehensive approach to Taiwan has not undergone fundamental change." 1
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