澳大利亚财政部长吉姆·查尔默斯针对即将发布的中期经济与财政展望(MYEFO)发出警告,称全球借贷成本上升将导致政府面临额外数十亿澳元的债务利息支出1。该中期展望定于圣诞节前公布,而政府目前已背负超过1万亿澳元的债务1。
查尔默斯指出全球债券收益率大幅上升,推高了借贷成本1。他强调了中东地区局势的经济影响,指出这场已持续6个多月的冲突对全球油价造成了"灾难性"影响,并进而影响澳大利亚通胀水平1。近期油价持续在每桶100美元以上波动1。在人口政策方面,查尔默斯提到净海外移民已从峰值下降近50%,强调移民政策的合理管理对经济的重要性1。尽管面临这些挑战,查尔默斯表示"我们总体而言有充分理由保持乐观"1。
Australia's Treasurer Jim Chalmers has cautioned that the mid-year economic and fiscal outlook (MYEFO), due for release before Christmas, will reveal billions of dollars in additional debt interest payments as global borrowing costs climb 1. The government currently carries over one trillion Australian dollars in debt 1.
Chalmers attributed the deterioration partly to elevated global bond yields, which have pushed up borrowing costs for governments internationally 1. He also pointed to geopolitical pressures affecting the broader economy, noting that the Middle East conflict, which has persisted for more than six months, has exerted a "catastrophic" effect on global oil prices and Australian inflation 1. Oil prices have remained above $100 per barrel over the past week 1.
On other economic fronts, the treasurer highlighted shifts in migration policy, observing that net overseas migration has declined nearly 50 percent from its peak 1. Despite these headwinds, Chalmers stated that "we have good reason overall to be optimistic" about Australia's economic trajectory 1. The government has also noted projections from the seventh intergenerational report predicting that deaths will exceed births in the 2060s 1.
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