美中战略竞争正在深刻改变国际贸易秩序,而欧盟和加拿大等中间大国正面临被夹在两大经济体之间的困局。1习近平与特朗普于9月在华盛顿会晤,1期间美国将决定是否批准美中人工智能热线协议。2此次会晤被视为缓解贸易紧张关系的机会,但2024年5月北京峰会并未取得任何实质成果。1
欧盟面临来自中美两方的压力。1欧盟主席冯德莱恩称第二波"中国冲击"已经到来,1第一波这样的冲击始于25年前中国加入世贸组织。1与此同时,特朗普威胁对欧盟征收"非常严肃的关税"。1两国在技术领域的竞争也在加剧:美国禁止向中国出口高性能芯片,中国则限制稀土出口。1
加拿大总理卡尼呼吁中间大国加强合作以应对大国竞争。1卡尼在达沃斯论坛上表示,"如果不坐在桌前,就会上了菜单"。1加拿大已采取措施缓和与中国的贸易摩擦,将中国电动车关税从100%降至6.1%,年配额为49000辆。1美国中期选举将于11月进行,中国也将在同月主办G20峰会。1
Chinese leader Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump are meeting in Washington this week to discuss potential easing of trade tensions and artificial intelligence cooperation agreements 12. The talks come as US-China competition fundamentally alters the global trade landscape, leaving middle powers like the European Union and Canada scrambling to protect their interests.
The rivalry between the world's two largest economies has intensified through targeted restrictions on both sides. The United States has banned exports of high-performance chips to China, while China has limited rare earth exports in response 1. EU Commission President von der Leyen has warned that a second wave of "China shock" has arrived, pointing to technological disruption that echoes the first wave triggered 25 years ago when China joined the World Trade Organization 1. Meanwhile, Trump has threatened to impose "very serious tariffs" on the European Union, leaving Brussels caught between Beijing's economic challenges and Washington's protectionist stance 1.
Smaller nations are attempting to navigate these tensions through diplomatic balance. Canada has reduced its tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles from 100 percent to 6.1 percent, with an annual quota of 49,000 vehicles 1. Canadian Prime Minister Carney has called for middle powers to strengthen cooperation to avoid being dominated by larger nations, stating at the Davos Forum that "if you don't have a seat at the table, you're on the menu" 1. During their Washington meeting, Trump is expected to decide whether to approve a proposed US-China artificial intelligence hotline agreement 2. China is scheduled to host the G20 summit in November, and US midterm elections are set for the same month 1.
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