台灣學者分析即將於9月24日在華府舉行的川習會，普遍認為此次會晤的儀式性意義大於美中關係的實質進展 1。學者預期會在經貿領域出現有限成果，例如中國增加採購美國農產品，或雙方就稀土與部分科技出口管制進行點對點交易 1。美國財政部長貝塞特已公開表示，美中將建立人工智能對話機制 1，但在AI議題和台海議題上難有重大突破 1。
針對對台軍售，學者預計美國對台140億美元軍售案「年底開始逐批核準的機率還是很高」 1，美國長期的一中政策並未改變 1。此次會談背景下，包括歐盟、加拿大等中等國家也在調整外交姿態，尋求通過多邊合作維護自身利益 2。
Taiwan scholars analyzing the upcoming Trump-Xi meeting scheduled for September 24 in Washington have concluded that the summit carries more symbolic than substantive significance 1. Tan Yao-nan and other analysts anticipate that tangible progress will be limited, with possible outcomes restricted primarily to trade matters such as increased Chinese purchases of American agricultural products or point-to-point exchanges on rare earth elements and technology export controls 1. On more complex issues, breakthroughs appear unlikely: the scholars expect minimal advancement on artificial intelligence policy and cross-strait matters 1.
The meeting follows a previous encounter between Trump and Xi in Beijing in May 2026 that yielded no concrete results 2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has indicated that the two nations will establish an AI dialogue mechanism and have discussed creating a notification system for sharing artificial intelligence safety incident information 2. Meanwhile, a $14 billion military aid package for Taiwan is expected to receive approval in batches beginning in late 2026 1. The U.S. maintains restrictions on advanced semiconductor exports to China, while China limits rare earth element shipments 2. American long-standing one-China policy remains unchanged 1.
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