澳大利亚人口增长放缓，预计2065-66年达3930万

澳大利亚政府发布的代际报告预计，到2065-66年澳大利亚人口将增至3930万，较当前的2790万增长约40%。1然而，这一增长步伐将明显放缓——未来40年的年均人口增长率预计为0.9%，远低于过去40年平均每年1.4%的增长速度。1

人口增长率下降的主要驱动因素是生育率的意外下滑。1报告指出，近一半的生育率下降源于越来越多的人选择不生育三个或以上的孩子。1财政部长查尔默斯在评述这一趋势时指出，"人们寿命更长、生活更健康，家庭生育孩子更少，人口增长将放缓至40年内少于4000万"。1

尽管人口增长面临放缓，澳大利亚经济前景依然被寄予厚望。1政府预计该国经济规模将在40年内实现翻番，但查尔默斯同时提醒，全球不确定性加剧带来新的挑战。1报告还特别强调了人工智能在塑造澳大利亚未来中的关键作用。1

The Australian government has released an intergenerational report projecting that the nation's population will reach 39.3 million by 2065–66, up from the current 27.9 million.1 This represents an increase of approximately 40 percent, though the pace of growth will decelerate significantly over the coming decades.1

The report forecasts that Australia's population growth rate will slow from an average of 1.4 percent annually over the past 40 years to 0.9 percent over the next 40 years.1 Treasurer Jim Chalmers attributed this deceleration to fertility rates declining more sharply than previously anticipated, with nearly half of the fertility decline stemming from fewer people having three or more children.1 According to Chalmers, "people are living longer and healthier lives, families are having fewer children, and population growth will slow to under 4 million over the next 40 years."1

Despite slower population growth, the Australian economy is expected to double in size over the 40-year period.1 The report underscores the central importance of artificial intelligence in shaping Australia's future.1