德国总理梅茨的政治支持急剧下滑1。2026年9月的民调显示，仅有13%的德国民众认为他表现良好1，创下历史新低。
梅茨所在的基督教民主联盟（CDU）在萨克森-安哈尔特州议会选举中表现惨淡，该州的得票率与2021年相比下降了50%1。党派选举成绩的大幅下滑进一步削弱了梅茨的政治地位。
根据德国宪法框架，撤换梅茨存在三种理论途径：总理主动辞职、建设性不信任投票或信心投票，但这些机制在实践中都面临重大障碍1。历史上，1974年威利·勃兰特因间谍事件辞职后，施密特在10天内当选新总理1；1982年施密特失去自由民主党支持后，通过建设性不信任投票被赫尔穆特·科尔取代1；2001年11月施罗德在与阿富汗军事部署相关的信心投票中获胜1。对于目前的困境，梅茨表示不认为有必要进行信心投票1，显示出他留任的决心。
Chancellor Friedrich Merz faces unprecedented political headwinds as his approval rating has collapsed to just 13 percent, according to an Infratest-Dimap poll conducted in September 2026.1 The decline reflects broader dissatisfaction within the electorate, compounded by his Christian Democratic Union's (CDU) dismal performance in recent state elections, where the party's vote share in Saxony-Anhalt fell by half compared to 2021.1
Under Germany's constitutional framework, there exist three potential mechanisms for removing a sitting chancellor, though each presents formidable practical obstacles.1 A chancellor may resign voluntarily, as Willy Brandt did in 1974 following a spy scandal—a move that led Helmut Schmidt to assume office within ten days.1 Alternatively, a constructive vote of no confidence could unseat the chancellor, as occurred in 1982 when Helmut Schmidt lost the support of the Free Democratic Party and was replaced by Helmut Kohl.1 A third option involves a confidence vote, which Gerhard Schröder successfully navigated in November 2001 over the issue of military deployment in Afghanistan.1 However, Merz has indicated he does not believe a confidence vote is necessary, signaling his determination to remain in office despite the erosion of public support.1
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