俄罗斯将于9月18-20日举行国家杜马选举,这是2022年全面入侵乌克兰以来的首次议会选举。12本次选举将选出杜马全体代表、11位州长、39个地区议会和其他基层代表机构代表。1普京所在的统一俄罗斯党已掌控议会23年,预期将继续控制议会。2
克里姆林宫通过多种手段确保选举结果符合政权利益。反战自由党亚博卢科首次被禁止参选。12该党副主席莱夫·什洛斯伯格和马克西姆·克鲁格洛夫因"诋毁俄罗斯军队"和"传播关于战争的虚假信息"被判长期监禁。1反战候选人鲍里斯·纳德日金也因"虚假指控"被定罪,被排除在选举外。1当局还采取远程电子投票、物质激励和强制措施等手段来管制选举过程。1
这次选举在乌克兰战争持续背景下进行。2俄军伤亡已达约140万人,其中包括45万阵亡,每月约3万人伤亡。1普京在电视讲话中将投票与对乌克兰的战争联系起来。2
Russia is holding parliamentary elections across three days as the country enters its fifth year of war in Ukraine 12. The vote will determine representatives to the State Duma, eleven regional governors, and thirty-nine regional legislative bodies 1. This marks the first parliamentary election since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 12.
The Kremlin has implemented extensive controls to ensure a predetermined outcome favoring President Putin's United Russia party, which has dominated parliament for twenty-three years 2. Authorities have systematically excluded opposition voices by banning the anti-war liberal party Yabloko from participating for the first time 12 and imprisoning anti-war candidates on disputed charges. Two Yabloko deputy chairs, Lev Shlossberg and Maksim Kruglov, received lengthy sentences for allegedly defaming the Russian military and spreading false information about the war 1. Anti-war candidate Boris Nadezhdin was similarly convicted on disputed charges and barred from running 1.
The election occurs against mounting human costs from the conflict. Russian military casualties are estimated at approximately 1.4 million, including 450,000 deaths, with roughly 30,000 wounded monthly 1. Despite widespread public dissatisfaction stemming from these losses, the Kremlin appears determined to suppress any electoral expression of discontent through remote electronic voting, material incentives, and coercive measures 1. Political analysts note that the Kremlin has deliberately maintained a low profile around the election, while academics emphasize that voting remains the regime's primary claim to legitimacy 2.
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