英国央行货币政策委员会以6:3投票结果决定将利率维持在3.75%不变1。然而，央行行长安德鲁·贝利发出警告，若中东冲突持续较长时间，政策可能需要收紧1。
地缘政治风险正推高英国物价压力。伊朗冲突升级已导致全球油价突破每桶100美元1，推动英国8月通胀率升至3.1%1。央行预计这一压力将进一步加剧，预测2027年第一季度通胀将超过4%1。
新任首相伯纳姆因此面临严峻考验。他在7月上任时曾推出一系列民生措施，包括公交车票价上限和电费增值税减免1。但在高通胀和高能源价格的双重压力下，这些措施的效果受到威胁。
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee has kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75%, with a 6-3 vote, but signaled potential tightening ahead if geopolitical tensions persist 1. Bank Governor Andrew Bailey warned that "if Middle East conflict continues for a prolonged period, policy may need to tighten" 1, a cautionary stance prompted by surging global oil prices that have breached $100 per barrel 1.
The decision comes amid mounting inflationary pressures facing the UK economy. August inflation reached 3.1%, driven by rising fuel costs 1, and the central bank projects inflation will exceed 4% in the first quarter of 2027 1. These forecasts present a significant challenge for newly appointed Prime Minister Burnham, who took office in July with measures including bus fare caps and value-added tax relief on electricity bills 1—initiatives now threatened by the combination of high inflation and elevated energy prices 1.
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