澳大利亚政府一年前发布了首份《国家气候风险评估》，识别了63项全国重大气候风险1。该报告预测极端天气的财务成本将在过去三十年内增长三倍，到2090年灾难恢复支出更将增加七倍1。沿海地区面临最为严峻的威胁，到2050年将有150万人受到影响，到2090年这一数字将攀升至300万人1。此外，在全球升温3°C的情景下，某些首府城市与热浪相关的死亡人数可能增加四倍，而本地植物物种中最多有70%到2050年可能处于其当前气候范围外1。
然而，在这份评估发布后的一年里，澳大利亚政府在应对这些风险方面几无具体行动1。相反，政府继续提供年度化石燃料补贴至少140亿澳元1，并批准新的煤气项目。与此同时，政府削减了气候科学研究经费，国家环境科学计划经费被削减约3000万澳元，澳大利亚气候服务向咨询公司转向的资金超过1500万澳元1。联邦灾难应急基金支出也在缩减，从年度承诺的2亿澳元降至2026-27年度的约1.4亿澳元1。
Australia's government released its inaugural National Climate Risk Assessment one year ago, identifying 63 major climate risks facing the nation 1. The report, delivered on September 15, 2025—at least nine months later than originally scheduled 1—painted a stark picture of escalating climate impacts across the country.
The assessment revealed that the financial cost of extreme weather has tripled over the past three decades and is projected to increase sevenfold by 2090 1. Heat-related mortality presents a particularly acute threat; under a scenario of 3°C global warming, some capital cities could experience up to a fourfold increase in heat-related deaths 1. Coastal regions face significant demographic disruption, with 1.5 million people expected to be affected by 2050 and 3 million by 2090 1. Additionally, up to 70 percent of native plant species may fall outside their current climate range by 2050 1.
Yet despite these alarming projections, Australia has taken minimal concrete action over the past year to address these risks 1. The government continues to approve coal and gas projects while simultaneously reducing climate science funding 1. The federal disaster recovery fund allocation has declined from an annual commitment of 200 million Australian dollars to approximately 140 million Australian dollars in 2026-27 1. The National Environmental Science Program has faced cuts of roughly 30 million Australian dollars 1. Meanwhile, the Australian government continues to provide at least 14 billion Australian dollars annually in fossil fuel subsidies 1, and has redirected over 15 million Australian dollars in climate service funding to consulting firms rather than maintaining direct government capacity 1.
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