美国斯坦福大学研究员吴国光表示,习近平在明年中共二十一大连任第4个任期已无悬念1。他指出,不应对二十一大寄予出现重大变革的期待1。
尽管习近平的用人政策突破了以往惯例,引发精英阶层的广泛强烈不满1,但吴国光认为这不会改变中共高层的权力分配格局1。关于中国经济前景,他指出当前经济面临下滑压力,习近平推出了高质量发展、绿色发展和科技自主发展等新模式1。中国在电动车、机器人、无人机等领域已取得成就和突破1,不过距离形成完整的新经济发展模式仍有较大距离1。
Wu Guoguang, a researcher at Stanford University, has stated that Xi Jinping's reelection to a fourth term at next year's Communist Party Congress is virtually certain, and major shifts should not be anticipated.1 According to Wu, while Xi's personnel decisions have deviated from past conventions and generated widespread discontent among the political elite, such friction will not alter the distribution of power at the top of the party hierarchy.1
On China's economic trajectory, Wu noted that the country faces a slowdown and that Xi has promoted new development models centered on high-quality growth, environmental sustainability, and technological self-reliance.1 Despite achievements in electric vehicles, robotics, and unmanned aircraft, Wu assessed that these efforts remain far from establishing a comprehensive new economic model.1 He emphasized that one should "not expect the Party Congress to bring about a dramatic transformation."1
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