前Anthropic研究员Jacob Coxon在BBC采访中表示,AI公司员工对人类未来"真诚感到害怕"1。Coxon曾在OpenAI工作,后加入Anthropic,现已离职1。他警告称如果不放慢当前的AI开发进展速度,"有很强的可能性我们都会在不久的将来死亡"1,并表示机器人集群接管互联网的场景可能在六个月到一年内实现1。
业界对AI风险的担忧并非个别声音。Anthropic科学家Evan Hubinger认为,AI在未来十年内杀死所有人类的概率超过10%1,诺贝尔奖获得者Geoffrey Hinton则认为这一概率为10%"不是不合理的"1。Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei最近提出应减速AI开发,OpenAI和xAI首席也表示同意1。然而,这些警告也招致批评声音,认为可能旨在炒作和推动监管以阻止竞争1。Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang在Goldman Sachs会议上驳斥了Coxon的评论1。
与此同时,OpenAI最近估值达8520亿美元(6300亿英镑),CEO Sam Altman表示今年不会进行IPO,理由是安全考虑1。而Anthropic据报正为潜在的创纪录IPO做准备1。
A former researcher at Anthropic has expressed grave concerns about the trajectory of artificial intelligence development, claiming that staff at AI companies are deeply worried about existential risks.1 Jacob Coxon, who previously worked at OpenAI before joining Anthropic and has since departed, stated in an interview with the BBC that "if we don't slow down at the current rate of progress, there's a strong possibility we'll all be dead in the not-too-distant future."1 He suggested that scenarios involving robotic swarms taking control of the internet could materialize within six months to a year.1
Coxon's warnings align with recent statements from AI industry leaders calling for a slowdown in development.1 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has advocated for reducing the pace of AI advancement, a position echoed by executives at OpenAI and xAI.1 The concerns about existential risk extend beyond company officials—Evan Hubinger, a scientist at Anthropic, has stated that he personally assesses the probability of AI killing all humans within the next decade at above 10 percent.1 Geoffrey Hinton, a Nobel Prize laureate, has characterized such a 10 percent fatality risk as "not unreasonable."1
However, these warnings have drawn skepticism from some quarters.1 Critics have suggested that such alarmist statements may serve promotional purposes or be designed to influence regulatory policy to limit competition.1 OpenAI's valuation has recently reached $852 billion, and CEO Sam Altman indicated the company will not pursue an initial public offering this year, citing safety considerations.1 Anthropic is reportedly preparing for a potentially record-breaking IPO of its own.1 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has dismissed Coxon's comments at a Goldman Sachs conference.1
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