澳大利亚总理阿尔巴内塞将一国党支持率上升的主要原因归咎于经济困难1。自2022年工党上台以来,连续加息导致许多选民的抵押贷款还款额增加数万美元1。选民尽管辛劳工作却感到生活系统失灵1。一国党在民调中首次超越工党初选支持率1,其中77%的一国党选民相信汉森政府能成功管理生活成本危机1。
经济痛苦并非一国党崛起的唯一驱动力。分析表明,工党和联盟党在经济议题的传播和认知框架上均面临挑战1。一国党将移民问题框架化为经济议题,声称其加剧住房危机并压低工资1。同时,澳大利亚的通胀和利率特别高1。两成三的一国党选民表示家庭财务恶化1,反映出经济焦虑在选民中的广泛存在。
Prime Minister Albanese has attributed the rise of One Nation to economic hardship, noting that voters feel the system has failed them despite working hard.1 One Nation has surpassed the Labor Party in primary vote polling for the first time, with 23 percent of One Nation voters reporting their household finances have deteriorated and 77 percent believing a Hansen-led government could resolve the cost-of-living crisis.1
While economic pain has clearly driven support toward One Nation, analysts point out that both Labor and the Coalition face substantial challenges in how they frame and communicate economic issues to the public.1 One Nation has strategically reframed immigration as an economic matter, claiming it worsens the housing crisis and suppresses wages.1 Since Labor took office in 2022, successive interest rate increases have left many voters' mortgage payments substantially higher, with some facing increases in the tens of thousands of dollars.1 Australia's inflation and interest rates have been particularly elevated.1 The Chalmers government has ruled out abandoning decades of convention regarding the independence of the Reserve Bank.1
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