缅甸军政权领导人敏昂莱于9月10日结束对越南的三天国事访问，期间与越南领导人承诺加强防务与安全关系1。自4月就任总统以来，敏昂莱已进行六次官方访问，足迹遍及印度、中国、老挝、泰国、俄罗斯和越南，并计划在周五前往柬埔寨，试图突破国际孤立困境1。
缅甸面临严峻的内部局势和国际压力。自2021年军事政变以来，缅甸内战已造成约10万人死亡，超过300万人流离失所1。联合国上月表示该国人权状况跌至新低1。东盟内部立场分裂，马来西亚、印度尼西亚和菲律宾主张继续禁止敏昂莱参加东盟最高级别会议，直至缅甸在2021年4月同意的和平计划上取得实质性进展1。缅甸新议会上月通过决议全面拒绝该和平计划1。与此同时，国际刑事法院前检察长曾要求对敏昂莱发出逮捕令，相关决定仍未出炉1。尽管泰国与缅甸共享2400公里以上的边界，2028年将担任东盟轮值主席国时可能支持缅甸重新加入东盟1，但西方国家对缅甸政权的国际犯罪指控持怀疑态度，短期内缅甸难以获得西方外交承认1。
Myanmar's military leader Min Aung Hlaing concluded a three-day state visit to Vietnam on September 10, pledging to strengthen defense and security ties between the two nations 1. The visit represents part of a broader diplomatic offensive by Min Aung Hlaing, who has undertaken six official foreign visits within five months of assuming the presidency in April, traveling to India, China, Laos, Thailand, Russia, and Vietnam, with plans to visit Cambodia before the end of the week 1. These extensive engagements reflect Myanmar's efforts to counter growing international isolation following the 2021 military coup.
The military regime faces significant obstacles to international rehabilitation. Since the coup, Myanmar's civil conflict has resulted in approximately 100,000 deaths and displaced over 3 million people 1. The United Nations reported last month that human rights conditions in Myanmar have reached their lowest point 1. Within ASEAN, three member states—Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines—continue to advocate for barring Min Aung Hlaing from attending ASEAN summit-level meetings unless Myanmar achieves substantial progress on the peace plan agreed to in April 2021 1. Myanmar's new parliament rejected the ASEAN peace plan entirely last month through a comprehensive resolution 1. Additionally, the former prosecutor of the International Criminal Court has sought an arrest warrant for Min Aung Hlaing, though a final decision remains pending 1. Some diplomatic support may emerge from Thailand, which shares over 2,400 kilometers of border with Myanmar and could potentially advocate for Myanmar's reintegration into ASEAN when assuming the ASEAN rotating chairmanship in 2028 1.
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