习近平将访印度 中印学者认为两国关系难有重大突破

习近平将于12至13日访问印度，参加金砖国家峰会，这是7年来首次访问1。尽管此次访问释放了外交缓和的信号，但中印两国学者对关系前景持谨慎态度。中国驻印度大使馆前外交官林民旺认为，两国关系不太可能取得重大突破1。印度智库副会长潘特指出，中印之间存在严重的"信任赤字"1。

经贸领域仍存在多重障碍。虽然印度今年3月对中国放宽了部分投资限制，但中国有关部门要求中企不要向印度出售关键技术和基础设施1。今年以来，印度太阳能、电子产品、基建等领域所需的中国设备在海关受阻，一批中国大型挖掘机被滞留超过1年1。2025年中印将恢复直航1。

Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit India on December 12–13 to attend the BRICS summit, marking his first trip to the country in seven years 1. Despite the diplomatic engagement, Chinese and Indian scholars have expressed skepticism about the prospects for a major breakthrough in bilateral relations, citing a persistent "trust deficit" between the two nations 1.

While there are signs of warming in diplomatic ties, economic and trade relations continue to face significant obstacles 1. India eased certain investment restrictions on China in March of this year, yet Chinese government departments have instructed domestic enterprises to refrain from selling critical technologies and infrastructure equipment to India 1. Throughout 2024, Chinese equipment needed for India's solar energy, electronics, and infrastructure sectors has been held up at Indian customs, and a batch of large Chinese excavators have been detained by Chinese authorities for over a year 1. Direct air service between the two countries is set to resume in 2025 1.

Lin Minwang, a former diplomat at the Chinese Embassy in India, stated that bilateral relations are unlikely to achieve major breakthroughs 1. Similarly, Pant, vice president of an Indian think tank, emphasized the existence of a serious "trust deficit" between China and India 1.