美国总统特朗普继续推进已持续近五个月的伊朗战争,对于这一政策的广泛反对和高昂成本他表示毫不在意。在中期选举距离不到四个月的敏感时期,特朗普的决定使共和党议员面临严峻的政治窘境。
民调数据反映出美国民众对这场战争的普遍不满。华盛顿邮报-益普索民调显示,仅28%的美国人认为伊朗战争值得进行,68%反对 [1][2]。即使在特朗普的支持基础内部,反对声音也在增强——37%的MAGA支持者仅在不增加成本的情况下支持继续作战 [1],而57%的MAGA选民将油价上升归咎于这场战争 [1]。
战争的经济代价令人瞩目。国防部长Pete Hegseth向国会议员表示,美国已在伊朗战争上花费37.5亿美元 [1][2],并请求批准880亿美元的补充拨款 [1]。油价从特朗普上台时的约3美元/加仑上升到超过4美元/加仑 [1]。与此相应,仅17%的美国人表示自己的财务状况比特朗普上台时更好,29%的人认为美国在世界上的领导力减弱 [1]。
面对政治压力,共和党议员表现出内部分歧。民主党本周推动进行新的伊朗战争权力投票,这是继6月首次投票以来的再次对峙 [2]。当时有四名共和党人与民主党人一致投票反对,特朗普随后在共和党午餐上称这四人为"失败者" [2]。共和党参议员Bill Cassidy更是直言:"这本应持续四周,却已持续四个月" [2]。华盛顿邮报/益普索民调显示,仅约三分之二的共和党人赞成特朗普处理伊朗局势的方式 [2]。
尽管如此,特朗普态度坚定。他表示:"我只会做正确的事。我不认为这与选举有关。我想人们印象深刻。" [1] 他还声称"美国人不想要高油价,但他们不反对这场战争" [2]。共和党在国会的官方立场仍是继续支持伊朗战争政策 [2],尽管这个立场在中期选举年面临重大政治风险。
President Trump is pressing ahead with a nearly five-month military campaign against Iran despite widespread unpopularity at home and substantial financial burden. A Washington Post-Ipsos poll found that only 28% of Americans believe the Iran war is worth fighting, while 68% oppose it.[1][2] The conflict has drawn disapproval even among Trump's own supporters, with just 37% of MAGA backers willing to continue the war only if costs do not increase.[1]
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told senators that the United States has already spent $37.5 billion on the Iran war and has requested congressional approval for an additional $88 billion in supplemental funding.[1][2] The financial toll is visible at the pump: gasoline prices have risen from approximately $3 per gallon when Trump took office to over $4 per gallon, a shift that 57% of MAGA voters attribute directly to the Iran conflict.[1]
Trump has shown little concern about the political headwinds, particularly with midterm elections less than four months away.[1] "I only do what's right. I don't think it has to do with elections. I think people are impressed," he stated.[1] When asked about Americans' concerns over high oil prices, Trump countered: "Americans don't want high gas prices, but they don't oppose this war."[2]
Republican lawmakers face a difficult position, caught between supporting their president and managing electoral risks in a climate of public disapproval. According to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll, only about two-thirds of Republicans approve of Trump's handling of the Iran situation.[2] Senator Bill Cassidy remarked during a closed-door lunch with Trump: "This was supposed to last four weeks, but it's been four months."[2] In June, four Republican senators voted with Democrats on a war powers resolution, prompting Trump to call them "losers" at a subsequent Republican lunch.[2] Democrats planned to force another war powers vote this week.[2]
Despite these political crosscurrents, Congress continues to back the military campaign. Just 29% of Americans believe U.S. global leadership has strengthened, while 52% say it has weakened, and only 17% report their personal finances have improved since Trump took office.[1]