許成鋼反駁「修昔底德陷阱」類比 指中國為積極擴張的極權體制

學者許成鋼反駁習近平提出的「修昔底德陷阱」框架，認為這一類比忽視了中國與西方的根本制度差異1。許成鋼指出，中國是極權體制而非普通威權國家，其中所有組織都必須在黨的控制之下，因此與威權體制存在本質區別1。他強調，中國對外積極擴張，不應被當作尋常的崛起大國看待1。

許成鋼的批評針對習近平今年5月在北京與美國總統川普會晤時再度表述的論點——兩國應避開「修昔底德陷阱」1。習近平本月晚些時候將回訪華盛頓1。許成鋼警告，若西方接受這一框架將付出巨大代價1。

Scholar Xu Chenggang has challenged the "Thucydides Trap" framework promoted by Chinese leader Xi Jinping, contending that the analogy fundamentally misrepresents the ideological and structural differences between China and the West 1. Xu argues that China operates as a totalitarian system rather than a conventional authoritarian state, distinguishing it from ordinary rising powers 1. He warned that if the West accepts this comparative framework, it would bear significant costs 1.

Xi Jinping reiterated the concept of avoiding the "Thucydides Trap" during a May meeting with U.S. President Trump in Beijing 1. Xi is scheduled to make a reciprocal visit to Washington later this month 1. Xu Chenggang, author of "Institutional Genes," emphasized that China's totalitarian system fundamentally differs from authoritarian regimes in that all organizations must operate under Communist Party control 1. His critique centers on the notion that treating China as a typical ascending major power would prove strategically costly for Western nations 1.