澳大利亚新南威尔士州政府在两起可疑误杀事件后宣布了新的有组织犯罪立法方案1。两名受害者分别是23岁学生Marco Tapia和40岁的Joshua Macdonald1。此举标志着该政府近年来推出的第三个重大有组织犯罪法案1。
新法案包含多项强硬措施，其中最引人瞩目的是引入终身监禁的最高刑罚，较现有的25年监禁更为严厉1。州总理Chris Minns表示："如果你密谋安排黑帮谋杀，你应该面临终身监禁的前景"1。此外，立法方案还包括临时严重犯罪预防令和扩大青少年违法条款1。这些措施出台的背景是，自2021年以来，悉尼已有14名无辜人士在黑帮射击中丧生1。
然而，学术研究对这些法案的威慑效果提出质疑。维多利亚量刑咨询委员会的研究表明，增加监禁长度不会产生相应的威慑增加1。问题的复杂性在于，一些被招募从事犯罪的儿童仅有14岁，却仅获得数百美元报酬1。NSW警务专员Mal Lanyon承认这些儿童"为很少的钱而行动，没有考虑后果"1。政府投资1500万美元用于扩展NSW警察技术能力1，但研究表明真正有效的措施应是针对性情报警务和青少年分流项目1。
New South Wales has introduced sweeping organised crime legislation in response to recent gang-related killings, but research suggests the measures may fall short of their deterrent goals.1
The announcement follows two suspicious deaths: 23-year-old student Marco Tapia and 40-year-old Joshua Macdonald.1 Since 2021, Sydney has witnessed fourteen innocent people killed in gang shootings.1 This represents the state government's third major organised crime legislative package in recent years.1 The new laws propose introducing life imprisonment as the maximum penalty, raising it from the previous 25-year threshold, along with temporary serious crime prevention orders and expanded youth offence provisions.1
Premier Chris Minns stated: "If you conspire to arrange a gangland murder, you should face the prospect of life imprisonment."1 However, research from Victoria's Sentencing Advisory Council demonstrates that increasing prison length does not produce a proportionate increase in deterrence.1 The evidence proves particularly concerning when applied to young offenders recruited into criminal networks.1 Some children as young as fourteen have been recruited and received only hundreds of dollars for their involvement.1 NSW Police Commissioner Mal Lanyon acknowledged that these young recruits "act for very little money, without considering the consequences."1
Experts suggest that targeted intelligence-led policing and youth diversion programmes offer more effective alternatives to harsher penalties alone.1 The government is investing fifteen million dollars to expand NSW Police technological capabilities.1
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