德国萨克森-安哈尔特州于2026年9月8日举行州议会选举,被认为极右翼的德国选择党(AfD)赢得大幅胜利1,有望推举州总理并接管州政府。执政党基民盟(CDU)的支持率下降至此前的一半以下1。
经济界对此感到担忧。ING首席经济学家卡斯滕·布泽斯基指出,"像特朗普一样,这样的头条新闻会对外国技术工人起到威慑作用"1。Bitkom主席拉尔夫·温特格斯特警告,"数字经济繁荣需要开放性、多样性和国际合作"1。经济界担忧AfD的反移民政策将削弱该州对外国技术工人的吸引力,加剧技能劳动力短缺。
汉堡国际经济研究所主任迈克尔·贝尔曼则指出,"AfD承诺的大部分措施无法在州级实施,因为联邦政府负责"1。德国工业联合会管理总监坦尼娅·哥内尔呼吁,"对州选举结果的回应不能是联邦层面的政治瘫痪"1。
评论人士将这一结果视为德国战后历史的转折点1。Commerzbank经济学家拉尔夫·索尔温表示,"一个由AfD领导的州政府肯定会被许多人视为转折点"1。
The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) achieved a decisive victory in Saxony-Anhalt's state election on September 8, 2026, positioning itself to nominate the state premier and take control of the regional government 1. The ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU) saw its support fall to less than half its previous level 1, with commentators describing the outcome as a turning point in German post-war history 1.
Business leaders and economists have raised alarm about the economic implications of the AfD's anticipated governance. The party's anti-immigration stance poses a particular threat to the state's ability to attract foreign technical workers, potentially exacerbating an existing shortage of skilled labor and widening economic disparities within the region 1. Commerzbank economist Ralph Solveen remarked that "a state government led by the AfD will certainly be viewed by many as a turning point" 1. ING chief economist Carsten Brzeski warned that such political headlines would act as a deterrent to foreign technical workers, comparing the effect to developments elsewhere 1.
However, some economists have tempered expectations about the AfD's direct policy impact. Michael Berlemann, director of the Hamburg Institute of International Economics, noted that most measures promised by the AfD cannot be implemented at the state level because federal authorities retain responsibility 1. Despite this limitation, industry representatives have called for urgent action. Bitkom chairman Ralf Wintergerst cautioned that "digital economic prosperity requires openness, diversity, and international cooperation" 1, while Tanja Gönner, managing director of the German Industrial Association, urged that "the response to the state election results cannot be political paralysis at the federal level" 1.
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